摘要: |
基于中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要与“十二五”控制温室气体排放工作方案以及中国“十一五”能源结构数据,利用灰预测模型,计算了中国2015年GDP、能源消费、能源结构以及二氧化碳排放总量,得出了中国2015年单位GDP二氧化碳排放比2010年下降17.4%的结论。 |
关键词: GDP 能源消耗 能源结构 单位GDP二氧化碳排放 |
DOI: |
分类号:X21 |
基金项目:中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(R090629B) |
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Prediction of China CO2 Emission in 2015 |
ZHANG Chuanping, NIE Jing, ZHOU Qianqian
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( College of Economics & Management, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao, Shandong 266580, China)
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Abstract: |
The GDP, energy consumption, energy structure and CO2 emission of China in 2015, is calculated by using grey forecasting model based on the twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) for China 's national economic and social development, the "twelfth five-year" work plan to control greenhouse gas emission and the China energy structure data of "eleventh five-year plan". The conclusion is drawn that China 's per unit GDP CO2 emission will be reduced by 17.4% compared with that of 2010. |
Key words: GDP energy consumption energy structure carbon dioxide emission of per unit GDP |