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基于模糊优化的原油产量分配方案分析——以某油田分公司为例
刘春旭,李亚蔚
(中国石油大学 经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580)
摘要:
运用回归预测和灰色预测构建操作成本三角模糊数,借鉴其他学者的油价预测研究成果得到原油价格三角模糊数,再进一步构建基于利润最大化、产量最大化和成本最小化三大目标下的模糊优化模型,利用隶属度函数进行求解,最后通过某油田分公司进行实例应用,得到不同目标条件下的最优产量分配方案。结果表明,有效的原油产量规划将提高企业利润和产量,降低成本。
关键词:  原油产量分配  模糊优化  应用
DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2015.02.0003
分类号:F407.22
基金项目:
Analysis of Oil Production Allocation Based on Fuzzy Optimization: Taking a Certain Oilfield Branch for Instance
LIU Chunxu, LI Yawei
(School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao, Shandong 266580, China)
Abstract:
The research deals with how to build operation cost of triangular fuzzy number by using regression prediction and the gray prediction, to get the price of crude oil triangular fuzzy numbers on the basis of price prediction research achievements of other scholars, to further construct fuzzy optimization model under the goals of profit maximization, yield and cost minimization and find the solution by using membership function. It finally gets optimal production schemes under different conditions by the practical application on a certain oilfield branch. The results show that the effective production planning will increase production, profits and reduce costs.
Key words:  oil production allocation  fuzzy optimization  practical application