| 摘要: |
| 利用文献分析及专家访谈法构建油气投资环境评价指标体系,基于证据理论构建油气投资环境评价模型,选取2003—2014年的数据对中东地区10个主要油气生产国家的油气投资环境进行综合评价,在此基础上分析中东地区及各个国家的油气投资环境演化过程,分析油气投资环境变化的主要影响。结果表明,中东地区油气投资环境呈下降趋势,主要是受政治、经济、油价暴跌等的影响。 |
| 关键词: 证据理论 中东地区 油气投资环境 |
| DOI：10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2015.04.0001 |
| 分类号:F416.22 |
| 基金项目:中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助项目(13CX04022B;14CX04043B) |
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| Potential Evolvement of Oil and Gas Investment Environments in the Middle East Based on Proof Theory |
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WANG Xinmin, SUN Jinfeng
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(School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao, Shandong 266580, China)
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| Abstract: |
| Evaluation index system of oil and gas investment environmentis constructed with literature analysis and expert interview, then the evaluation model is established based on proof theory. Oil and gas investment environments are evaluated comprehensively with the data of 2003-2012 in 10 countries of the Middle Eeast and the evolvement process of individual oil and gas investment environment is analyzed on the results computed by this model, finally the factors giving rise to changes of investment environments are analyzed. Results show that the oil and gas investment environments in the Middle East declined from 2003 to 2014, which are mainly influenced by political situation, economic environment, oil price slump, etc. |
| Key words: proof theory the Middle East oil and gas investment environment |
