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蓝黄九市经济-生态-社会的协调发展
丁浩,焦祥嘉
(中国石油大学 经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580)
摘要:
通过以蓝黄九市2005—2014的面板数据为基础,运用协同学理论构建蓝黄九市经济-生态-社会协调发展模型,分析蓝黄九市三系统的发展现状及演化过程可以看出,经济、生态、社会三系统之间具有较强的互补作用。2014年青岛市耦合协调度水平最高,德州市最低。除青岛市达到优质协调外,其余城市的协调类型为:日照市、潍坊市、滨州市、淄博市、德州市属经济发展相对滞后型;烟台市属生态发展相对滞后型;威海市、东营市属社会发展相对滞后型。经济系统关键影响因子是GDP等,生态系统关键影响因子是污水集中处理率等,社会系统关键影响因子是公用设施投资等。
关键词:  蓝黄九市  经济  生态  社会  耦合协调度  灰色关联  可持续发展
DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2017.01.0005
分类号:F061.3
基金项目:中国石油大学(华东)自主创新科研计划项目(15CX04137B);山东省重点研发计划项目(2015GGX109004)
Research on Coordinated Development of Economy-ecology-society Coupling in "the Blue and Yellow Zone"
DING Hao, JIAO Xiangjia
(School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum,Qingdao,Shandong 266580, China)
Abstract:
Based on the data between 2005 and 2014 of "the blue and yellow zone", economy-ecology-society coordinated development model of "the blue and yellow zone" is constructed by using coupling theory to analyze the three system development status and evolution process of blue and yellow zone. We can see that the economy system, ecology system and society system have strong complementary effect. In 2014, Qingdao is at the highest level of coupling coordination and Dezhou is at the lowest. Except the high-quality coordination of Qingdao, the coordination types of other cities are:Rizhao, Weifang, Binzhou, Zibo, Dezhou are economic development relative lagging, Yantai is ecological development relative lagging, and Weihai and Dongying are social development relative lagging. The key factors of the economy are GDP, etc, the key factors of the ecology are sewage treatment rate, etc, and the key factors of the society are investment of municipal public facilities, etc.
Key words:  "the blue and yellow zone"  economy  ecology  society  coupled scheduling  Grey Relation  sustainable development