摘要: |
随着共建“21世纪海上丝绸之路”倡议的纵深推进,中国对沿线国家的投资大幅增长。深入研究我国对沿线国家投资风险的分布及其成因,是稳妥推进“海上丝路”建设的关键。通过选取“海上丝路”沿线具有代表性的23个国家2008—2016年间的数据,进行对比分析,发现中国对沿线国家投资量区位分布不均衡、投资强度与风险评级不匹配,并分析由此形成的风险及其成因。为降低中国对“海上丝路”的投资风险,要全面认识东道国的投资风险,积极开拓投资新领域,以提高对外投资的回报和效率,提升对外投资的可持续发展水平。 |
关键词: 21世纪海上丝绸之路 投资风险 风险成因 风险评估 |
DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2019.05.0003 |
分类号:F125 |
基金项目:国家发展与改革委员会“一带一路”专项(20170910);教育部哲学社会科学后期资助项目(19JHQ096);辽宁省社科规划基金项目(L18BGL038);辽宁省兴辽英才项目(XLYC1807097);辽宁省高等学校创新人才支持计划(WR2017004) |
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Research on Investment Risk of Main Countries Along the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road |
LIU Jiaguo, GUO Junyu, CUI Jin
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(School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, Liaoning 116026, China)
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Abstract: |
With the further development of the "Twenty-first Century Maritime Silk Road" initiative, China 's investment in the countries along the line has increased significantly. To steadily build the "Maritime Silk Road", it is an important foundation to analyze the risks and causes of China 's foreign investment. In this paper, the data of 23 representative countries along the "Maritime Silk Road" from 2008 to 2016 is selected, and we find that China 's investment location distribution is not balanced, and that investment intensity does not match with risk. Accordingly, the risk factors that affect the location and intensity of investment are studied. In order to reduce the investment risk of China 's "Twenty-first Century Maritime Silk Road", China should take all these factors into consideration and fully understand the investment risks of host countries and explore new areas of investment. So we can improve the return and efficiency of external investment and the sustainable development level. |
Key words: 21st Century Maritime Silk Road investment risk risk causes risk evaluation |