| 摘要: |
| 金融发展对青岛市低碳经济的发展具有重要作用,是实现碳减排的关键路径。选取金融发展规模、发展活跃度及其分布特征等维度构建金融指标评价体系,衡量金融发展成熟度较高的青岛市金融包容性发展指数,进而基于碳排放强度和金融发展的非线性关系,通过面板门槛模型分析金融发展对碳排放强度的异质性影响。研究表明:青岛市金融包容性发展水平提升显著,具有较高的金融发展程度；金融发展与碳排放强度的门槛效应明显,金融包容性发展指数存在单门槛效应,保险深度和存贷款占比存在双门槛效应,而人均金融网点分布存在三门槛效应；不同经济发展水平下,金融指标与碳排放关联性差异明显。随着经济发展水平的提升,金融发展对碳排放强度的抑制作用趋于衰退；从驱动效应来看,控制变量中城市化建设是金融发展影响碳排放强度的主要作用路径。 |
| 关键词: 金融包容性指数 门槛效应 碳排放强度 |
| DOI：10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2020.06.0003 |
| 分类号:F832;X22 |
| 基金项目:青岛市社会科学规划项目(QDSKL1901040)；山东省软科学研究计划项目(2019RKE28006) |
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| Research on the Threshold Effect of Financial Inclusive Development Driving Carbon Emission Reduction in Qingdao |
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LI Zhiguo, WANG Jie
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(School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, Shandong 266580, China)
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| Abstract: |
| Financial development is of great significance for the low-carbon economy in Qingdao and is a major contributor to carbon emission reduction. In this research, the financial index evaluation system is established, covering the dimensions of financial scale, development activity, and distribution characteristics, to examine the financial inclusive development index in Qingdao whose financial development level is high. Based on the nonlinear relationship between financial development and carbon emissions, the heterogeneous impacts of financial development on carbon emissions are then analyzed by applying threshold effect model. The results indicate that the financial inclusive development level in Qingdao has improved significantly and the financial development is at a high level. There exist significant threshold effects between financial development and carbon emission, among which, the financial inclusive development index has a single threshold effect, the insurance depth and the ratio of deposits and loans have double threshold effects, and the distribution of per capita financial outlets have three threshold effects. The correlation between financial indicators and carbon emissions varies significantly at different levels of economic development. With the development of economy, the restraint effect of financial development on carbon emissions tends to decline. From the perspective of driving effect, urbanization is, among the controlled variables, the main path of financial development influencing carbon emission intensity. |
| Key words: financial inclusive development threshold effect carbon emission intensity |
