| 摘要: |
| 2011年3月的日本地震引发了海啸,造成了福岛核电站爆炸并引发了核泄漏,核泄漏对日本以及周边地区人们的正常生产生活造成了极大损害。这次事故引起了国际社会重新审视核电的安全性。在核电行业没有解决安全性之前,大部分国家不再审批新的核电站建设项目,这些国家由此引发的能源需求缺口将由化石能源(煤炭、石油等)填补。但是,在节能减排的大背景下,石油的清洁性优于煤炭,因此,石油的需求将增加,石油的价格将上涨。另一方面,日本工业在地震中遭受重创,日本对石油的进口将减少。二者共同左右国际油价的走势。 |
| 关键词: 日本地震 核安全 石油消费需求 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F407.2 |
| 基金项目: |
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| The Impact of Japan Earthquake on Nuclear Power and Crude Oil Industry |
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WU Zhenhua, WANG Chuan, LIU Tianyu
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(School of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China)
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| Abstract: |
| The Japan earthquake that happened in 2011 made the society rethinking about the safety of the nuclear power because of the horrible nuclear leak. The development of the nuclear power industry will be pessimistic since many countries have suspended the approval of building new nuclear power plants and launched the overall safety check on the running nuclear power plants. But the world will not reduce the power need. The traditional fossil power, such as coal and crude oil, can take this responsibility. So the demand for oil will increase. But on other aspects, the Japan manufacture system including auto plants and refineries was heavily destroyed during the earthquake. So Japan 's crude oil demand will decrease. These two opposing factors will both influence the oil price. |
| Key words: Japan earthquake nuclear power safety oil consumption demand |
