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“一带一路”背景下我国海外油气资产结构配置研究
张涛1,曾显凤1,赵丽萍2
(1.中国石油大学(华东) 经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580;2.中国石油股份有限公司 油气和新能源分公司,北京 100007)
摘要:
当前国际油价波动剧烈且国际形势不稳定,对我国造成了较大的能源安全压力。积极优化海外油气资产结构配置是保障我国能源安全、市场主动权和话语权的有效手段。针对海外油气资产结构配置不合理的问题,根据海外油气资产的主要特征,设定合理的条件约束,构建满足单维度和多维度不同资产结构配置要求的多目标规划数学模型,采用逆向、多层和多阶段优化的思路,利用改进遗传算法进行模型求解,寻求具有合理资产配置结构的项目集合及其实现路径。依据实例应用中优化结果的分析,提出增加勘探项目比例、加强区域合作、科学规划项目类型等建议,以优化海外油气资产结构配置。
关键词:  海外油气资产结构  多目标规划  改进遗传算法  配置及优化
DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2023.06.0003
分类号:F416.22;F832.48
基金项目:山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2022MG083);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(22CX04008B)
Research on China 's Offshore Oil and Gas Asset Structure Allocation Under the Belt and Road Initiative
ZHANG Tao1, ZENG Xianfeng1, ZHAO Liping2
(1.School of Economics and Management, China University of Petroleum(East China), Qingdao 266580, Shandong, China;2.Gas & New Energies Company, China Petroleum Corporation Limited, Beijing 100007, China)
Abstract:
The current sharp fluctuations of the international oil prices and the unstable international situation have caused great pressure on China 's energy security. Actively optimizing the configuration of overseas oil and gas assets is an effective means to ensure China 's energy security, market initiative and discourse power. Aiming at the problem of unreasonable allocation of overseas oil and gas assets structure, this paper sets reasonable conditions and constraints according to the main characteristics of overseas oil and gas assets, constructs a multi-objective programming mathematical model that meets the different requirements of single-dimension and multi-dimension asset structure allocation, adopts the idea of reverse, multi-level and multi-stage optimization, and uses improved genetic algorithm to solve the model, and seeks the project set with a reasonable asset allocation structure and its realization path. According to the analysis of optimization results in application examples, some reasonable suggestions on the structural allocation of overseas oil and gas assets are further put forward, such as increasing the proportion of exploration project, strengthening regional coorperation, and scientifically planning project types.
Key words:  overseas oil and gas asset structure  multi objective planning  improved genetic algorithm  configuration and optimization 英文编校:马志强