| 摘要: |
| 碳排放权交易制度(简称碳交易)通过明确碳排放权的产权属性,借助市场机制实现减排成本的优化配置,是中国推进"双碳"战略、应对气候变化的核心政策工具。依据PRISMA指南,从中国知网系统筛选1998-2024年间发表的与中国碳交易相关的高质量学术论文,分析发现,碳价格与政策效果评估是该领域发文量最多的两大研究主题。结合文献计量与内容分析,围绕碳价变化规律、碳定价机制、碳价影响因素及碳价预测4个方面,对碳价格研究进行系统梳理,并构建了具有多层级结构的碳价影响因子体系。同时,从环境效益、经济效益、创新效益与能源效益4个维度,对评估研究中的55项具体评价对象,在指标测度、评估方法、实证结果、异质性分析与作用机制等方面进行了全面评述。提炼出当前研究热点与前沿议题,为后续学者快速把握该领域研究脉络与深化理论探索提供系统性参考。 |
| 关键词: 碳市场 碳价格 影响因子 政策评价 作用机制 异质性 |
| DOI：10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2026.01.0005 |
| 分类号:F205 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目(24VRC099)；江苏省社会科学基金项目(22GLC001);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(NR2025014) |
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| Review on of Carbon Emission Trading in China:Price Fluctuations and Policy Effects |
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WANG Qunwei1, YU Chunling2
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(1.College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, Jiangsu, China;2.College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, Jiangsu, China)
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| Abstract: |
| The carbon emissions trading system (hereinafter referred to as carbon trading) clarifies the property rights of carbon emissions and optimizes the allocation of emission reduction costs through market-based mechanisms, serving as a key policy instrument for China in advancing its carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and addressing climate change. Following the PRISMA guidelines, this paper retrieves high-quality academic articles on China 's carbon trading published between 1998 and 2024 from the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) database. The analysis shows that studies on carbon pricing and policy effectiveness constitute the two most prolific research themes in this field. By integrating bibliometric and content analysis, this study systematically reviews carbon pricing researches from four perspectives:patterns of carbon price fluctuations, mechanisms of carbon pricing, determinants of carbon prices, and carbon price forecasting. On this basis, a multi-level framework of carbon price influencing factors is constructed. Furthermore, the study provides a comprehensive review of 55 specific evaluation objects in the policy assessment literature, covering measurement indicators, evaluation results, heterogeneity analysis, and functional mechanisms from four dimensions of environmental, economic, innovation, and energy benefits respectively. Eventually, this paper identifies current research hotspots and frontier topics, offering systematic references to understanding the research landscape and advancing theoretical exploration in this domain. |
| Key words: carbon market carbon price influencing factors policy evaluation functional mechanisms heterogeneity |
