| 摘要: |
| 为了研究中国城乡居民人均消费水平与人均收入水平之间的动态关系及城乡差异,选取2000—2009年中国城镇居民和农村居民相关面板数据作为样本进行分析。面板单位根检验表明,变量均为一阶单整序列;面板协整检验表明,变量间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。基于杜森贝利的相对收入消费理论,构建了中国城乡居民消费固定效应变截距动态模型,结果表明:以2000年为基期,中国城乡居民平均自发消费水平为376.53元,当期边际消费倾向为0.41,上一期消费对本期消费带来的“荆轮效应”为0.40。 |
| 关键词: 消费模型 单位根检验 协整检验 相对收入消费理论 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F224.0 |
| 基金项目:黑龙江哲学社会科学研究规划项目(08E026) |
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| Research on Consumption Dynamic Model of Urban and Rural Households in ChinaBased on Relative Income Hypothesis |
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LI Fengsheng1, WEI Jingzhu1, WANG Mengyan2
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(1.School of Economics and Management, Northeast Petroleum University, Daqing, Heilongjiang 163318, China;2.School of Finance, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, Sichuan 611130, China)
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| Abstract: |
| The relational panel data about per capita annual living expenditure and per capita annual income of urban and rural households in China from 2000 to 2009 has been chosen as a sample in order to study the dynamic relationship between per capita annual living expenditure and per capita annual income of urban and rural households in China and the gap between urban and rural areas. The results of panel unit root tests show that the variables are stationary after the first difference. The result of panel cointegration test shows that there is a longterm stable equilibrium relationship among the variables. The fixed effect consumption dynamic model with individual intercept has been constructed based on J. S. Duesenberry's relative income hypothesis, which shows that the average level of spontaneous consumption of urban and rural households is 376.53 yuan (price base year=2000). The marginal propensity to consume during the current period is 0.41. The consume inertia of the last period to the current one is 0.40. |
| Key words: consumption model unit root test cointegration test relative income hypothesis |
