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山东省物流产业对区域经济增长贡献研究
范秋芳,刘兰廷,张玉帅
(中国石油大学 经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580)
摘要:
基于1980—2012年的相关数据,选取物流发展成效指标、物流供给指标、物流需求指标、地区生产总值,利用经济计量模型分析测算山东省物流产业对区域经济增长的贡献,结论是区域物流需求、供给、规模的增长均可以带动区域经济增长,同时区域经济增长也推动了物流产业发展。山东省要注重提高区域物流供给能力、优化区域物流布局、加大对物流产业的扶持力度、培育物流产业集团、加强物流信息化建设,以物流产业发展促经济增长。
关键词:  物流产业  区域经济  经济计量模型
DOI:
分类号:F259.27
基金项目:山东省社会科学规划项目(12CJJJ13);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目 (14CX06046B);青岛市科技计划项目(14-4-3-1-(45)-zhc)
Research on the Contribution of Logistics Industry to Regional Economic Growth Based on Shandong Province
FAN Qiufang, LIU Lanting, ZHANG Yushuai
(School of Economics & Management, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao, Shandong 266580 China)
Abstract:
While selecting the 1980-2012 year data of the logistics development of performance indicators, logistics and supply indicators, logistics demand indicators and regional GDP, econometric model has been used to estimate the contribution of the logistics industry in Shandong Province on regional economic growth. Then the conclusion has been drawn that regional logistics demand, supply and growth in the size promote regional economic growth, and regional economic growth also contributes to the development of the logistics industry. Suggestions have been put forward that Shandong Province should improve the ability of regional logistics and supply, optimize layout of regional logistics, increase support for logistics industry, develop logistics industry group and strengthen the construction of logistics information, and eventually promote economic growth through logistics industry development.
Key words:  logistics industry  regional economy  econometric model