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“去气候政策化”:特朗普第二任期美国气候政治新变化
赵斌1,2,3,高嘉悦1
(1.西安交通大学 马克思主义学院,陕西 西安 710049;2.武汉大学 经济外交研究中心,湖北 武汉 430072;3.中国人民大学 欧洲问题研究中心,北京 100872)
摘要:
2024年特朗普再度当选美国总统,于就职首日即宣布再次退出《巴黎协定》,美国气候政策由此呈现确定性全面“倒退”态势。在个人领导风格强化、国内利益结构重组以及大国战略竞争加剧等因素的交互作用下,美国气候政治呈现鲜明的“去气候政策化”转向。这一转向重塑了国内政治生态,并经由话语叙事与政策工具的反复运用得到强化,导致美国气候治理体系趋于碎片化,进而对全球气候政治共识及《巴黎协定》的有效实施造成冲击。从本质上看,这一变化是多重结构性变量经由政治生态重塑而系统性重构政策行为逻辑的集中体现。尽管“去气候政策化”转向在短期内对多边气候外交进程形成掣肘,但从长期来看,气候合作领域仍呈现共识大于分歧的基本态势。
关键词:  气候政治  特朗普第二任期  政治生态  叙事策略
DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2026.03.0010
分类号:D871.2;P467
基金项目:2024年度西安交通大学“习近平文化思想”研究阐释专项重点项目(SKZX2024003);2025年国家级青年人才科研配套项目(QB202515)
De-prioritization of Climate Policy:New Changes in U.S. Climate Politics during Trump 2.0 Presidency
ZHAO Bin1,2,3, GAO Jiayue1
(1.School of Marxism, Xi 'an Jiaotong University, Xi 'an 710049, Shaanxi, China;2.Centre for Economic Diplomacy, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, China;3.Centre for European Studies, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)
Abstract:
Donald Trump,following his return to the White House in 2024, announced the U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement once again on his first day in office, signaling a phase of "deterministic retrenchment" in American climate policy.Under the combined effects of an increasing personalized leadership style, the restructuring of domestic interest configurations, and intensifying great-power competition,U.S. climate politics has exhibited a distinct shift toward "de-prioritization of climate policy".Correspondingly,the political ecology has been systematically reshaped and further reinforced through the repeated deployment of discursive narratives and policy instruments.As a result, the U.S. climate governance system has become increasingly fragmented,exerting tangible impacts on the global climate consensus and the effective implementation of the Paris Agreement. In essence, this transformation reflects a systematic reconfiguration of policy behavioral logic through the reshaping of political ecology by multiple structural variables.Although this shift constrains multilateral climate processes in the short term,climate cooperation in the long run continues to demonstrate a fundamental trend in which consensus outweighs divergence.
Key words:  climate politics  Trump 2.0 presidency  political ecosystem  narrative strategies 英文编校:韩淑芹