| 摘要: |
| 十五五”时期是夯实中国式现代化基础的关键阶段,科学测度新质生产力发展水平对区域高质量发展至关重要。基于“新质劳动力—新质劳动对象—新质劳动资料”理论框架构建指标体系,运用熵值法测度2013—2022年山东省新质生产力发展水平,并结合Dagum基尼系数、Kernel密度估计及障碍度模型剖析其时序演进、空间分异与制约因素。研究表明:考察期内,山东省新质生产力发展水平总体稳步提升,但区域差异显著,形成以青岛、济南为双核的梯度空间格局,区域总体差异呈波动收敛态势,区域间差异是总体差异的主要来源；障碍诊断表明,新质劳动资料是全省核心制约维度,数据要素市场化梗阻是全域共性瓶颈,且制约因素存在显著的区域异质性和梯度异质性。面向“十五五”,应以“四链融合”为核心逻辑,探寻适配区域梯度特征的差异化提升路径,推动不同区域因地制宜培育新质生产力。 |
| 关键词: 新质生产力 高质量发展 “十五五” 四链融合 山东省 |
| DOI：10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2026.03.0004 |
| 分类号:F124 |
| 基金项目:山东省社会科学规划研究项目(24CSDJ13) |
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| Spatiotemporal Evolution of New Quality Productive Forces in Shandong Province and Enhancement Strategies for the 15th Five-Year Plan |
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MA Yingying, WANG Baokun, XUE Yawei, WAN Peng
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(School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao 266520, Shandong, China)
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| Abstract: |
| The 15th Five-Year Plan period represents a critical phase for consolidating the foundation of Chinese modernization, making the scientific measurement of new-quality productive forces essential for high-quality regional development. Based on the theoretical framework of "new-quality labor, new-quality objects of labor, and new-quality means of labor", this study constructs an evaluation index system. It utilizes the entropy weight method to measure the development level of new-quality productive forces in Shandong Province from 2013 to 2022. Furthermore, it combines the Dagum Gini coefficient, Kernel density estimation, and the obstacle degree model to analyze its spatiotemporal evolution, spatial differentiation, and constraining factors. The results indicate that during the study period, the level of new-quality productive forces in Shandong Province showed a steady overall improvement. However, significant regional disparities persist, forming a gradient spatial pattern driven by the "dual cores" of Qingdao and Jinan. The overall regional differences exhibit a fluctuating convergence trend, with inter-regional differences being the primary source of the overall inequality. The obstacle diagnosis reveals that the new-quality means of labor is the core restrictive dimension across the province, and the impeded marketization of data elements is a common bottleneck for the entire region. Moreover, the constraining factors demonstrate significant regional gradient heterogeneity. Looking ahead to the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the "integration of the four chains" should be adopted as the core logic to explore differentiated enhancement paths that align with regional gradient characteristics, thereby promoting the cultivation of new quality productive forces tailored to local conditions across different regions. |
| Key words: new-quality productive forces high-quality development the 15th Five-Year Plan integration of the four chains Shandong Province 英文编校:马志强 |
